With the NFL draft a little over a week away, the league had a bomb dropped on Wednesday when Jeff DarlingtonĀ reported that Deebo Samuel officially requested a trade from the 49ers.
The explosive playmaker reportedlyĀ āwants to move on,ā according to Adam Schefter, even if John Lynch and the San Francisco front office are ready to get a deal done. Samuel reportedly āhas put a halt to everything for right now.ā The Falcons, who currently boast one of the league’s worst receiving cores, have an obvious need for a pass catcher, but should they pursue the disgruntled star?
Trading for Samuel will require parting ways with several valuable draft picks as well as a lucrative, long-term deal. I donāt necessarily believe the Falcons are in a position to trade away any picks for any position that isnāt a premium position ā quarterback, EDGE, etc. The Falcons arenāt one Deebo Samuel away from competing, even if it will kickstart the rebuild, and itās not wise to build a roster from the outside in. Building out is much more sustainable.
Paying Samuel is also another hurdle the Falcons would have to climb, but itās not as big of a deal as the compensation. Handing a receiver/running back $30 million AAV will never be my cup of tea, but the Falcons will be able to afford it going forward.
The teamās total cap liabilities are estimated to be just under $89 million next offseason, which puts them in a position to be big spenders come the spring of 2023.Ā With the leagueās salary cap estimated to rise to $220-225 million in 2023, the Falcons should have between $131-136 million in cap space. Thatās plenty of room to fit Samuelās new contract under.
The logistics would work out, but the teamās timeline doesnāt warrant trading for a player like Samuel. Atlanta doesnāt have a long-term solution at quarterback, andĀ Marcus MariotaĀ is in no position to lead this subpar roster to the playoffs. You can always find weapons before a signal caller, but Iād argue that money would be better spent on pass rushers and offensive linemen in free agency next spring.
Still, the prospect of a player like Samuel with Cordarrelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts in Arthur Smithās offense is extremely enticing. The first-time head coach has already proven with Patterson that he can accentuate Samuelās skillset.
I feel confident the Falcons won’t be trading for Samuel, but what does Vegas think about Atlanta’s odds of landing the former Gamecock?
- Jets +400 (20%)
- Colts +600 (14.29%)
- Falcons +800 (11.11%)
- Saints +800 (11.11%)
- Colts +450
- Jets +500
- Chiefs +550
- Saints +550
- Packers +600
- Eagles +800
- Ravens +1000
- Falcons +1200
- Lions +1200
- Steelers +1200
- Browns +1600
- Patriots +1600
- Broncos +2000
- Cardinals +2000
- Texans +2000
- Bucs +2500
Depending on the betting outlet, the Falcons are either unlikely or extremely unlikely to land Samuel. It’s not that Atlanta can’t afford to pay him or give San Fran the compensation they desire; they’re just not one Deebo Samuel away from competing. And I think Terry Fontenot and oddsmakers realize that.
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