Georgia has opened as massive favorites to take home their second title in as many years next Monday. Vegas expects them to win by nearly two touchdowns, despite nearly falling to Ohio State in their own backyard a week ago. The public loves TCU, but I tend to side with the bookmakers. This is a mismatch, and the Horned Frogs will need to play perfectly to even have a chance in the fourth quarter. Otherwise, it could get ugly.
Georgia’s defense is vulnerable. They’ve shown it in their last two games against LSU and Ohio State. TCU should be able to put up some points. The problem is this might be the best Georgia offense we’ve ever seen. They feature a tremendous running game, and Stetson Bennett is in one of those grooves where it looks like he can’t be stopped. TCU has some athletes defensively, but Georgia is far more talented offensively than Michigan, and the Wolverines nearly put up 50 on the Horned Frogs. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Bulldogs sniff 60 if that’s what they need to do to win.
TCU’s Offensive Line Must Dominate
TCU’s offense will have to be at the top of their game. While I said Georgia’s defense is vulnerable, they are probably better than anybody the Horned Frogs have faced this season, especially in the trenches. TCU has some impressive players across their offensive line, and they’ll need to play a perfect game to keep up with Georgia’s offense. Establishing the run and the pass against the Bulldogs is imperative; TCU can’t be one-dimensional against a Kirby Smart-led defense. With Georgia’s secondary being suspect, the Horned Frogs must establish a running game they can lean on. If that happens, the pass game will open wide up, and this game will quickly get very interesting.
Win The Turnover Battle
TCU shocked the world with their win over Michigan, but that doesn’t happen if the Wolverines don’t shoot themselves in the foot over and over again. Michigan threw two pick 6s, fumbled on first down at the one-yard line, and went 0-2 on fourth downs in the red zone. They essentially turned the ball over five times, and TCU took advantage. If the Horned Frogs want to win their first National Title since 1938 on Monday, something similar will have to take place. As good as Georgia has been this year, they boast a -1 turnover margin through 14 games. If the Bulldogs hold onto the ball, TCU doesn’t have a chance.
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Photo: Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire
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